E-books and e-publishing by Samuel Vaknin (essential reading .TXT) đź“•
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(NetBot) cannot be blocked or fooled by using differing
product categories.
In the future, these agents will refer also to real life
retail chains and issue a map of the branch or store closest
to an address specified by the user (the default being his
residence). This technology can be seen in action in a few
music sites on the web and is likely to be dominant with
wireless internet appliances. The owner of an internet enabled
(third generation) mobile phone is likely to be the target of
geographically-specific marketing campaigns, ads and special
offers pertaining to his current location (as reported by his
GPS - satellite Geographic Positioning System).
6. Internet NewsInternet news are advantaged. They can be frequently and
dynamically updated (unlike static print news) and be always
accessible (similar to print news), immediate and fresh.
The future will witness a form of interactive news. A special
“corner” in the site will be open to updates posted by the
public (the equivalent of press releases). This will provide
readers with a glimpse into the making of the news, the raw
material news are made of. The same technology will be applied
to interactive TVs. Content will be downloaded from the
internet and be displayed as an overlay on the TV screen or in
a square in a special location. The contents downloaded will
be directly connected to the TV programming. Thus, the
biography and track record of a football player will be
displayed during a football match and the history of a country
when it gets news coverage.
Terra Internetica - Internet, an Unknown Continent
This is an unconventional way to look at the Internet. Laymen
and experts alike talk about “sites” and “advertising space”.
Yet, the Internet was never compared to a new continent whose
surface is infinite.
The Internet will have its own real estate developers and
construction companies. The real life equivalents derive their
profits from the scarcity of the resource that they exploit -
the Internet counterparts will derive their profits from the
tenants (the content).
Two examples:
A few companies bought “Internet Space” (pages, domain names,
portals), developed it and make commercial use of it by:
* renting it out
* constructing infrastructure and selling it
* providing an intelligent gateway, entry point to the rest
of the internet
* or selling advertising space which subsidizes the tenants
(Yahoo!-Geocities, Tripod and others).
* Cybersquatting (purchasing specific domain names
identical to brand names in the “real” world) and then
selling the domain name to an interested party
Internet Space can be easily purchased or created. The
investment is low and getting lower with the introduction of
competition in the field of domain registration services and
the increase in the number of top domains.
Then, infrastructure can be erected - for a shopping mall, for
free home pages, for a portal, or for another purpose. It is
precisely this infrastructure that the developer can later
sell, lease, franchise, or rent out.
At the beginning, only members of the fringes and the avant-garde (inventors, risk assuming entrepreneurs, gamblers)
invest in a new invention. The invention of a new
communications technology is mostly accompanied by devastating
silence.
No one knows to say what are the optimal uses of the invention
(in other words, what is its future). Many - mostly members of
the scientific and business elites - argue that there is no
real need for the invention and that it substitutes a new and
untried way for old and tried modes of doing the same thing
(so why assume the risk?)
These criticisms are usually founded:
To start with, there is, indeed, no need for the new medium. A
new medium invents itself - and the need for it. It also
generates its own market to satisfy this newly found need.
Two prime examples are the personal computer and the compact
disc.
When the PC was invented, its uses were completely unclear.
Its performance was lacking, its abilities limited, it was
horribly user unfriendly.
It suffered from faulty design, absent user comfort and ease
of use and required considerable professional knowledge to
operate. The worst part was that this knowledge was unique to
the new invention (not portable).
It reduced labour mobility and limited one’s professional
horizons. There were many gripes among those assigned to tame
the new beast.
The PC was thought of, at the beginning, as a sophisticated
gaming machine, an electronic baby-sitter. As the presence of
a keyboard was detected and as the professional horizon
cleared it was thought of in terms of a glorified typewriter
or spreadsheet. It was used mainly as a word processor (and
its existence justified solely on these grounds). The
spreadsheet was the first real application and it demonstrated
the advantages inherent to this new machine (mainly
flexibility and speed). Still, it was more (speed) of the
same. A quicker ruler or pen and paper. What was the
difference between this and a hand held calculator (some of
them already had computing, memory and programming features)?
The PC was recognized as a medium only 30 years after it was
invented with the introduction of multimedia software. All
this time, the computer continued to spin off markets and
secondary markets, needs and professional specialities. The
talk as always was centred on how to improve on existing
markets and solutions.
The Internet is the computer’s first important breakthrough.
Hitherto the computer was only quantitatively different - the
multimedia and the Internet have made it qualitatively
superior, actually, sui generis, unique.
This, precisely, is the ghost haunting the Internet:
It has been invented, is maintained and is operated by
computer professionals. For decades these people have been
conditioned to think in Olympic terms: more, stronger, higher.
Not: new, unprecedented, non-existent. To improve - not to
invent. They stumbled across the Internet - it invented itself
despite its own creators.
Computer professionals (hardware and software experts alike) -
are linear thinkers. The Internet is non linear and modular.
It is still the age of hackers. There is still a lot to be
done in improving technological prowess and powers. But their
control of the contents is waning and they are being gradually
replaced by communicators, creative people, advertising
executives, psychologists and the totally unpredictable masses
who flock to flaunt their home pages.
These all are attuned to the user, his mental needs and his
information and entertainment preferences.
The compact disc is a different tale. It was intentionally
invented to improve upon an existing technology (basically,
Edison’s Gramophone). Market-wise, this was a major gamble:
the improvement was, at first, debatable (many said that the
sound quality of the first generation of compact discs was
inferior to that of its contemporaneous record players).
Consumers had to be convinced to change both software and
hardware and to dish out thousands of dollars just to listen
to what the manufacturers claimed was better quality Bach. A
better argument was the longer life of the software (though
contrasted with the limited life expectancy of the consumer,
some of the first sales pitches sounded absolutely morbid).
The computer suffered from unclear positioning. The compact
disc was very clear as to its main functions - but had a rough
time convincing the consumers.
Every medium is first controlled by the technical people.
Gutenberg was a printer - not a publisher. Yet, he is the
world’s most famous publisher. The technical cadre is joined
by dubious or small-scale entrepreneurs and, together, they
establish ventures with no clear vision, market-oriented
thinking, or orderly plan of action. The legislator is also
dumbfounded and does not grasp what is happening - thus, there
is no legislation to regulate the use of the medium. Witness
the initial confusion concerning copyrighted software and the
copyrights of ROM embedded software. Abuse or under-utilization of resources grow. Recall the sale of radio
frequencies to the first cellular phone operators in the West
- a situation which repeats itself in Eastern and Central
Europe nowadays.
But then more complex transactions - exactly as in real estate
in “real life” - begin to emerge.
This distinction is important. While in real life it is
possible to sell an undeveloped plot of land - no one will buy
“pages”. The supply of these is unlimited - their scarcity
(and, therefore, their virtual price) is zero.
The second example involves the utilization of a site - rather
than its mere availability.
A developer could open a site wherein first time authors will
be able to publish their first manuscript - for a fee.
Evidently, such a fee will be a fraction of what it would take
to publish a “real life” book. The author could collect money
for any downloading of his book - and split it with the site
developer. The potential buyers will be provided with access
to the contents and to a chapter of the books. This is
currently being done by a few fledgling firms but a full scale
publishing industry has not yet developed.
The Life of a Medium
The internet is simply the latest in a series of networks
which revolutionized our lives. A century before the internet,
the telegraph, the railways, the radio and the telephone have
been similarly heralded as “global” and transforming.
Every medium of communications goes through the same
evolutionary cycle:
Anarchy
The Public Phase
At this stage, the medium and the resources attached to it are
very cheap, accessible, under no regulatory constraints. The
public sector steps in: higher education institutions,
religious institutions, government, not for profit
organizations, non governmental organizations (NGOs), trade
unions, etc. Bedevilled by limited financial resources, they
regard the new medium as a cost effective way of disseminating
their messages.
The Internet was not exempt from this phase which ended only a
few years ago. It started with a complete computer anarchy
manifested in ad hoc networks, local networks, networks of
organizations (mainly universities and organs of the
government such as DARPA, a part of the defence establishment,
in the USA). Non commercial entities jumped on the bandwagon
and started sewing these networks together (an activity fully
subsidized by government funds). The result was a globe
encompassing network of academic institutions. The American
Pentagon established the network of all networks, the ARPANET.
Other government departments joined the fray, headed by the
National Science Foundation (NSF) which withdrew only lately
from the Internet.
The Internet (with a different name) became semi-public
property - with access granted to the chosen few.
Radio took precisely this course. Radio transmissions started
in the USA in 1920. Those were anarchic broadcasts with no
discernible regularity. Non commercial organizations and not
for profit organizations began their own broadcasts and even
created radio broadcasting infrastructure (albeit of the cheap
and local kind) dedicated to their audiences. Trade unions,
certain educational institutions and religious groups
commenced “public radio” broadcasts.
The Commercial Phase
When the users (e.g., listeners in the case of the radio, or
owners of PCs and modems in the example of the Internet) reach
a critical mass - the business sector is alerted. In the name
of capitalist ideology (another religion, really) it demands
“privatization” of the medium. This harps on very sensitive
strings in every Western soul: the efficient allocation of
resources which is the result of competition, corruption and
inefficiency naturally associated with the public sector
(“Other People’s Money” - OPM), the ulterior motives of
members of the ruling political echelons (the infamous
American Paranoia), a lack of variety and of catering to the
tastes and interests of certain audiences, the equation
private enterprise = democracy and more.
The end result is the same: the private sector takes over the
medium from “below” (makes offers to the owners or operators
of the medium - that they cannot possibly refuse) - or from
“above” (successful lobbying in the corridors of power leads
to the appropriate legislation and the medium is
“privatized”).
Every privatization - especially that of a medium - provokes
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